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Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?
$1.6M vol.Jun 30, 2026

Live odds and probability for Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?. Predict outcomes on Bitget Wallet.
Outcomes
OpenAI
$437.6K Vol.xAI
$573.9K Vol.DeepSeek
$281.8K Vol.Z.ai
$13.4K Vol.Meta
$21K Vol.Alibaba
$15.9K Vol.About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.

