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Fed Rates
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Fed Decision in October?
$33.7M vol.
81%
No change20%
25 bps increaseWhat will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
$6.9M vol.
51%
4.25%33%
4.0%Fed Decision in December?
$3M vol.
76%
25 bps increase23%
No changeFed Decision in January?
$346K vol.
65%
No change33%
25 bps increaseFed decisions (Jul–Oct)
$813.7K vol.
100%
Other<1%
Pause–Pause–PauseHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
$54M vol.
96%
0 (0 bps)2%
1 (25 bps)Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
$286.3K vol.
62%
Hike–Pause–Hike22%
Hike–Pause–PauseWhat will be the next Fed rate change?
$27.4K vol.
100%
Hike<1%
CutHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$969.4K vol.
56%
5.4%33%
5.5%No change flips Hike 25 bps for October Fed by...?
$20.5K vol.
100%
September 30100%
October 15How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$211.1K vol.
65%
5.70%49%
5.80%Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
$647.3K vol.
80%
Yes21%
NoWhat will the Fed rate be at the end of 2027?
$19.4K vol.
18%
4.25%16%
4.75%Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)
$31.4K vol.
51%
Pause-Hike-Pause13%
Pause-Hike-HikeHow high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$101.1K vol.
86%
5.10%39%
5.25%How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in October?
$25K vol.
74%
5.32%47%
5.35%Fed rate cut by...?
$3.7M vol.
80%
July 2027 Meeting50%
June 2027 MeetingHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get in October?
$12.8K vol.
78%
Below 5.18%57%
Below 5.15%How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in October?
$13.2K vol.
89%
Below 5.55%73%
Below 5.52%How high will 2-year Treasury yield go in October?
$10.5K vol.
94%
4.86%88%
4.92%How high will 30-year Treasury yield go in October?
$19.2K vol.
59%
5.70%46%
5.73%How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$84.7K vol.
15%
Below 4.50%10%
Below 4.45%How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in October?
$15.2K vol.
69%
5.08%45%
5.11%How many dissent at the October Fed meeting?
$19.5K vol.
31%
030%
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